Market Intelligence
Market Reports
Data-driven insights into the Tucson luxury real estate market to help you make confident decisions.
As of October 1, 2026 · Source: MLS of Southern Arizona (MLSSAZ) closed residential sales, Oct 2025 – Sep 2026
Area Market Reports
Closed Sales by Area
Twelve months of closed residential sales in each area, computed from MLS of Southern Arizona (MLSSAZ) and refreshed monthly. Each report carries the median sold price, price per square foot, days from listing to closing, sale-to-list ratio, cash share and a month-by-month table. As of October 1, 2026.
| Area | Median Sold | $/Sq Ft | Sales (12 mo) | Median Days to Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catalina Foothills | $660,000 | $297 | 1,052 | 63 days |
| Oro Valley | $500,000 | $254 | 1,010 | 72 days |
| Sabino Canyon | $510,000 | $247 | 65 | 55 days |
| Tucson Mountains | $329,000 | $208 | 745 | 69 days |
| Dove Mountain | $605,000 | $259 | 255 | 85 days |
| Tanque Verde | $710,000 | $282 | 269 | 62 days |
| Marana | $423,500 | $225 | 1,507 | 82 days |
| Vail | $400,000 | $206 | 1,026 | 92 days |
| Rita Ranch | $339,500 | $195 | 66 | 66 days |
| Sahuarita | $343,500 | $187 | 857 | 79 days |
| Green Valley | $300,000 | $201 | 1,167 | 72 days |
| Downtown Tucson | $479,900 | $351 | 51 | 62 days |
| Sam Hughes | $577,500 | $343 | 84 | 45 days |
| Civano | $394,000 | $249 | 37 | 66 days |
| Corona de Tucson | $375,450 | $188 | 246 | 85 days |
| SaddleBrooke | $507,000 | $237 | 509 | 82 days |
| Rincon Valley | $412,940 | $209 | 653 | 93 days |
| Midtown Tucson | $350,000 | $237 | 583 | 62 days |
| Stone Canyon | $2,150,000 | $522 | 29 | 76 days |
| Ventana Canyon | $349,000 | $314 | 91 | 68 days |
As of October 1, 2026 · Source: MLS of Southern Arizona (MLSSAZ) closed residential sales, Oct 2025 – Sep 2026. Medians, not averages: price per square foot is the median of each sale's own ratio, and days to close run from the listing date to the closing date, escrow included. Areas overlap (Stone Canyon sits inside Oro Valley, Dove Mountain inside Marana), so the sale counts cannot be added into a Tucson-wide total.
Expert Analysis
2026 Market Outlook
Over the last twelve months, the median sold price across the 20 areas we track ran from $300,000 in Green Valley to $2,150,000 in Stone Canyon. In our experience, demand from out-of-state buyers — particularly from California, the Pacific Northwest, and the Northeast — remains a primary driver at the high end.
In the team's core areas, homes sold for a median of 97.9% of list price in Catalina Foothills, closing 63 days after listing; 98.2% of list price in Oro Valley, closing 72 days after listing; 98.4% of list price in Sabino Canyon, closing 55 days after listing; 98.1% of list price in Dove Mountain, closing 85 days after listing. That is a negotiated market, not a bidding war: a well-priced home sells, but most buyers pay somewhat below asking and have time to inspect and compare.
Seller concessions are common: they were part of 35.4% of sales in Catalina Foothills, 40.5% of sales in Oro Valley, 47.7% of sales in Sabino Canyon, 50.2% of sales in Dove Mountain. For sellers, pricing to the recent closed sales — not to the highest active listing — is what shortens time on market. For buyers, asking for help with closing costs or a rate buydown is a normal part of an offer here.
Each area report breaks these figures down by price band and month, which matters more than any metro-wide headline: the same area can be quick at one price point and slow at another.
This outlook reflects the professional opinion of the Tucson Experts team based on MLS of Southern Arizona (MLSSAZ) closed sales as of October 1, 2026. It is not a guarantee of future results. Contact us for a current, address-specific analysis.
Free Report
Get a Market Report by Email
Leave your name and email and an agent from our team will follow up with our latest Tucson market report — and, if you tell us the area or home you are watching, a report for it.